Rays Expectancy Chart

It might seem petty to complain about an event on a 6-1 homestand that just completed with an extra innings victory but I would be remiss if I did not speak about the bottom of the 9th inning in today’s game. The Rays loaded the bases with no outs and I mentioned in yesterday’s post about the Run Expectancy Chart. That chart tells us teams that load up the bases with no outs score 2.5 runs on the average but the Rays scored zero as Bartlett and Foley were too conservative on Upton’s fly ball, Brignac was too aggressive swinging at an awful strike three pitch, and Sean Rodriguez couldn’t get the ball safely in play. Thankfully, Jason Bartlett came to the rescue in the 10th and drove in Carl Crawford with the winning run so the club remains two game back of the Yankees and three up on the Red Sox. Still, leaving them loaded with zero out in the 9th and loaded with one out in the 1st inning led to the Rays stranding 17 runners in all. Teams that strand that many runners in a game deserve to lose but the Rays found a way to win against the lowly Indians but would have most assuredly lost against a team with a better bullpen or offense. In honor of the this futility, I present to you the Rays Expectancy Chart:

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About Jason Collette

Writer/Analyst
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2 Responses to Rays Expectancy Chart

  1. Heather says:

    I really think that the biggest thing that the Rays need to work on is batting. There has been countless times in the past few weeks where the Rays could have scored quite a few runs but failed too. They have such a great season going and are starting to earn the respect that they deserve. I get the best of both worlds because I lived in Florida for a few months and attended quite a few games, but now I’m back in North Carolina and not that far from the Bulls.

  2. Heather, the situational hitting has left a lot to be desired but the fact the club makes the worst contact in the American League certainly does not help with moving runners over. The club has hit .278 with RISP over the last 13 which is terrific but we’ve still seen too many episodes like today where they’ve left ducks all over the pond.

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