2010 zMLE's from BaseballThinkFactory

Dan Szymborski of Baseball Think Factory does a great service each year in putting out his Minor League Translations (MLE’s) and ZiPS. He tells me on Twitter that he’ll have his 2011 Rays ZiPS projections out by the end of the month but he has already published his MLE’s for 2010. In his own words:

As usual, there are a number of caveats regarding minor league translations that an inevitable number of people forget and give me a gigantic migraine about.

Translations are not true-talent projections.  They are simply translations of lower-level performance that are subject to the same caveats as all performance statistics are.  They’re subject to issues of small-sample size.  They’re subject to luck, fluke years, career years, injuries, and reflects players not being experience professionally.  If you see anyone post “Betances ready for the majors – translation of 3.82 in 14 starts for Tampa” or “Szymborski says Martin Perez is not a prospect” please insult that person in accordance with whatever internet meme is hot at the time in question.

Essentially, the MLE’s show you how a player’s numbers would have looked had they played in the major leagues. With that in mind, here are some of the MLE’s from some of the more recognizable names in the Rays’ farm systems for the hitters.

Player Level Age AB BA OBP SLG
Leslie Anderson AAA 28 123 .252 .281 .301
Desmond Jennings AAA 23 407 .248 .321 .337
Elliott Johnson AAA 26 435 .255 .305 .356
Dan Johnson AAA 30 357 .258 .365 .468
Fernando Perez AAA 27 392 .199 .246 .253
Justin Ruggiano AAA 28 467 .227 .287 .338
Nevin Ashley AA 25 354 .206 .265 .280
Henry Wrigley AA 23 258 .217 .244 .322
Tim Beckham A 20 481 .208 .281 .268
Reid Fronk A 23 402 .219 .310 .306

and now the pitchers

Name Level Age IP ERA BB K
Winston Abreu AAA 33 50.1 3.22 27 55
Jeremy Hellickson AAA 23 111 3.65 43 87
R.J. Swindle AAA 26 50 4.68 13 37
Alex Cobb AA 22 113 4.30 45 86
Jake McGee AA 23 82.1 4.37 43 66
Alex Torres AA 22 131 5.21 91 100
Nick Barnese A 21 111 4.61 41 59
Joseph Cruz A 21 129 4.67 61 77
Matt Moore A 21 126 5.23 95 122
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About Jason Collette

Writer/Analyst
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