Dan Szymborski of Baseball Think Factory does a great service each year in putting out his Minor League Translations (MLE’s) and ZiPS. He tells me on Twitter that he’ll have his 2011 Rays ZiPS projections out by the end of the month but he has already published his MLE’s for 2010. In his own words:
As usual, there are a number of caveats regarding minor league translations that an inevitable number of people forget and give me a gigantic migraine about.
Translations are not true-talent projections. They are simply translations of lower-level performance that are subject to the same caveats as all performance statistics are. They’re subject to issues of small-sample size. They’re subject to luck, fluke years, career years, injuries, and reflects players not being experience professionally. If you see anyone post “Betances ready for the majors – translation of 3.82 in 14 starts for Tampa” or “Szymborski says Martin Perez is not a prospect” please insult that person in accordance with whatever internet meme is hot at the time in question.
Essentially, the MLE’s show you how a player’s numbers would have looked had they played in the major leagues. With that in mind, here are some of the MLE’s from some of the more recognizable names in the Rays’ farm systems for the hitters.
and now the pitchers