Rich Lederer of The Hardball Times has a fantastic article up this morning that I think will help drive the points home that Tommy Rancel and I discussed in our BHSN video series on LOB% and BABIP. The image below is the biggest takeaway from the article as it illustrates the lucky from the unlucky.
The red cross-hairs are the league-average so the further a pitcher strays in any direction, the more their fortunes change. Those in the top left quadrant are the most fortunate pitchers as they get both LOB% and BABIP help while those in the right (hi there, James Shields), get slammed with a double dose of bad fortunes.
Please read the rest of Lederer’s article if those metrics still bring you pause as he does a great job of showing how these metrics affect a pitcher’s performance in a given season.