There are many similarities between Carl Crawford and Kevin Kiermaier at this young juncture in their careers. At KK’s age Crawford had already secured his first fortune due to a brilliant contract extension offered by the Tampa Bay Devil Rays. Will deja vu strike again? Follow the bread crumbs over to The Process Report to see what that sort of deal might look like.
While Evan Longoria’s massive six-year, $100M extension hasn’t even started yet that hasn’t stopped some folks from thinking it will be an albatross deal that has the potential to sink the team’s future prospects. I think he’ll provide good value for the next several years before the team looks to cash him in for future value.
Here’s my thoughts.
When the Rays acquired Drew Smyly as the principal component in the David Price deal at the deadline of 2014 it looked like the team was getting a young horse that could immediately be plugged into the rotation for the next four plus years. It’s not very often that you can find someone that profiles as a two to three win pitcher with that much control, but David Price is kind of a big deal. An offseason finger injury delayed his spring training debut and when he finally did get on the field he ramped up too quickly leading to a shoulder issue. He would miss the first few weeks, but his debut saw the guy we all expected. Then after three starts the shoulder flared up again. Rays beat writer Mark Topkin’s “informed speculation” stated that the labrum was torn. It’s likely he would never pitch again. Yet here we are a few months later with Smyly on the mound and doing his best to keep this train on the tracks.
To read more you can pick up the thread at The Process Report.
As mentioned previously all of my work can now be found at The Process Report, but I will continue to post snippets here, as well.
Brad Boxberger has not been the same lightning force that he was in 2014. Well, he hasn’t been that guy other than a brief stretch at the start of the season. Is there a way to fix what is going on? What exactly is going on? For those answers and more catch my take over at TPR.
(My work can now be found at The Process Report, but I will be linking here as well in order to keep myself organized. Expect a short intro here, but you can finish up over there. Tremendous thanks to those that have made this site a perusing point in your day over the last few years. Much thanks to Jason Collette for supporting Dock of the Rays over the years and for bringing me aboard at TPR.
When you name your child Herschel Mack Powell IV you enter that infant into a lifetime of expectations that will never be met. Sure you might become the Assistant to the General Manager for the Southeast corridor for Publix Supermarkets, but your grandpappy Herschel Mack Powell Sr. WAS the General Manager for a prolific dry goods wholesaler back in HIS day. And he did it several years younger, too. These expectations can cripple the mental pscyhe of a weaker man, as your dad Herschel Powell III has had no issue reminding you for the last dozen Thanksgivings after the turkey gets put away and the Turkey comes out. Sometimes it’s just easier to do it another way.
Another man with similar expectations shook off the binding chains of his family name and after a trip to the mountains of the Far East he returned with a new identity known only to himself and his butler. Herschel Mack Powell IV realized that the only way that he could create his own identity was to forge out into the world under an alias. To create his own blazing path under the moniker Boog Powell so that someday he could return home with his head held high bearing the confidence of someone that has fulfilled the enormous expectations that the ambitious place upon themselves. Tune in next week to find out how he goes about sating this famished desire.
(To continue reading please head over to The Process Report…)
If you read the site you know about the Matchup Tool that Ian Malinowski and I have created and refined. It’s a great way to get an idea of the outcome of any pitcher and any batter in any park. I like it. I’m proud of it. I’m going to be using it throughout this post. The idea is that we can create an idea of how a player should have batted (xwRC+) and then compare that with how the player actually did over the course of the season. Let’s go through this by plate appearance leaders: